October 2010 San Antonio Real Estate Market Report

Here's your October 2010 San Antonio real estate market report.

It proves what a difference a year makes.

Twelve months ago, driven by the Federal First Time Home Buyer Tax Credit Program, San Antonio's realty market was in the midst of a home buying frenzy.

The tax credit program was initially very successful as an exceptionally high number of home buyers rushed to purchase their first homes. Although the program prompted elevated home sales across the board, the inventory of properties priced below $150,000 sold off faster than homes in the higher priced categories.

After the tax credit program ended in April 2010, the market quickly drew back. Clearly, the tax credit program's success had drawn much of the energy out the market for the coming months.

Now, San Antonio area home sales and list prices are well below average for the second half of the year. Home values in some neighborhoods have depreciated and sellers have lowered their list prices accordingly. Nonetheless, buyer response has been tepid and the inventory of homes on the market remains high.

In order to attract buyers, owners of resale homes are offering attractive concessions and home builders are advertising enticing incentives.

Given the uncertain national economy, it is difficult to reach conclusions about San Antonio's long term realty market trends, but in the short term, it's clear San Antonio's home market remains relatively healthy and extremely favorable for buyers.

As for sellers, the advantage goes to the home seller most willing to reduce his or her price expectations and expend the money, time, and effort to improve the property's condition and appearance.

Looking ahead, all key economic indicators are positive for the San Antonio realty market's continued growth. Contributing factors are the city's low unemployment rate, a history of sustained job growth, and the activities of a highly successful alliance of politicians, government agencies, and private entities focused on supporting local business development and encouraging outside corporations to locate to the area.

Of particular note for the coming year is the continuing infusion of manpower, money, and material resources associated the area's Military Base Realignment and Closing (BRAC) projects.

For those who love stats, here are the key indicators for San Antonio's single family detached home listings as of 8 October 2010.

There are 12,458 homes for sale compared to 11,304 one year ago. The inventory is high but stable for the time being. That's a good sign for home buyers.

The average sales price for the most recent closings is $187,140, compared to last year's $176,287. That's an unreliable indicator because of the large number of lower priced properties sold in 2009 under the tax incentive program. An analysis of longer term data indicates an absence of any significant sales price appreciation since 2007. That's another good sign for buyers.

Average cumulative-days-on-the-market (CDOM) for the most recent sales is 123 compared to 126 last year. During 2009, CDOM figures were unacceptably high, but dropped fast during the Federal Tax credit home buying frenzy. It remains to be seen if cumulative market time will improve further, but a slight upward trend is possible. Nonetheless, for the time being, CDOM data is positive for San Antonio home sellers, specifically, and for San Antonio's realty market, generally.

Industry analysts see these data as reflecting a housing market strongly favoring buyers over sellers.

That's all for our October 2010 San Antonio realty market report. We encourage reader comments and recommendations about how to make our reports more informative and useful.

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We're Stephanie and Randy Kelley, Realtors® of Keller Williams Legacy, San Antonio, Texas. If you have questions, need San Antonio realty or mortgage loan advice or assistance, or just want to chat a bit about the wonderful Alamo City, please call us at (210) 863-2661 or (210) 867-8743, or E-mail us at swkrealtor@aol.com or kelleybus@aol.com. Our SanAntonioHomeQuest.com Realty Solutions Team is always ready to help you with your home buying or selling needs.

That's all for your October 2010 San Antonio real estate market report.